Author Profile
Walsh, Kieran J.
Identifying Fragilities in the Global Economy
Walsh, Kieran J.; Warnock, Frank
GEM-0208 | Published February 28, 2024 | 13 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
This note presents frameworks and indicators for identifying fragile economies. It includes an assessment of Morgan Stanley's Fragile Five call in 2012 as well as current fragilities data for a range ... Read More
Predicting the Next High-Growth Economies
Walsh, Kieran J.; Warnock, Frank
GEM-0207 | Published January 30, 2024 | 14 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
In 2001, the economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICs) were predicted to grow faster than many others; this prediction turned out to be true. In this technical note, the challenge is to id... Read More
Fragilities and Growth Prospects in the Global Economy
Warnock, Francis E.; Walsh, Kieran J.
GEM-0177 | Published May 13, 2021 | 24 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
This note discusses identifying the potential future fragile and high-growth economies. Read More
Exchange Rate Shocks in the United Kingdom and Switzerland
Walsh, Kieran J.; Warnock, Frank
GEM-0172 | Published January 06, 2021 | 15 pages. Case
Collection: Darden School of Business
This case follows as the protagonist sets out to refresh his knowledge of large changes in exchange rates by analyzing two specific episodes: George Soros against the Bank of England (BOE) in 1992 and... Read More
Longer-Term Exchange Rate Anchors
GEM-0170 | Published December 12, 2018 | 12 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
The goal of this technical note is to give students tools for thinking about how exchange rates will move over a period of five years into the future. While forecasting exchange rates is arguably more... Read More
Identifying the Next High-Growth Economies
Walsh, Kieran J.; Roberts, Anthony
GEM-0169 | Published December 06, 2018 | 12 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
This note is an introduction to using macroeconomics in evaluating the long-term growth prospects of emerging markets. Methodologically, it is an application of growth theory, the Solow model in parti... Read More
Swatch Group and Francogeddon
GEM-0167 | Published October 29, 2018 | 13 pages. Case
Collection: Darden School of Business
This case illustrates how exchange rate shocks affect international businesses. The focus is on one recent stark example: the effect on Swatch Group of the Swiss National Bank's January 2015 decision ... Read More
Mexico: Walls or Doors?
GEM-0166 | Published October 12, 2018 | 18 pages. Case
Collection: Darden School of Business
This case is about the economy of Mexico as of 2018, and particularly the challenges it faces with respect to managing its currency and inflation, the renegotiation of NAFTA, and long-term growth. The... Read More