Author Profile
Warnock, Frank
Identifying Fragilities in the Global Economy
Walsh, Kieran J.; Warnock, Frank
GEM-0208 | Published February 28, 2024 | 13 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
This note presents frameworks and indicators for identifying fragile economies. It includes an assessment of Morgan Stanley's Fragile Five call in 2012 as well as current fragilities data for a range ... Read More
Swatch Group and Francogeddon (Abridged)
GEM-0206 | Published February 27, 2024 | 8 pages. Case
Collection: Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad
This case illustrates how exchange rate shocks affect international businesses. The focus is on one recent stark example: the effect on Swatch Group of the Swiss National Bank's January 2015 decision ... Read More
Predicting the Next High-Growth Economies
Walsh, Kieran J.; Warnock, Frank
GEM-0207 | Published January 30, 2024 | 14 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
In 2001, the economies of Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICs) were predicted to grow faster than many others; this prediction turned out to be true. In this technical note, the challenge is to id... Read More
An Abridged User’s Guide to BPM6-Based BOP and IIP Accounts
GEM-0213 | Published January 18, 2024 | 6 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
This note presents an abridged description of balance of payments (BOP) and international investment position (IIP) data. It refers to data for Mexico, but given that there are worldwide standards for... Read More
The Yield Curve and Growth Forecasts
GEM-0106 | Published March 07, 2011 | 8 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
Fully updated through February 2024, in this case, the protagonist was sifting through the evidence on the predictive content of the yield curve. Did the current steepness of the yield curve mean that... Read More